Lille vs Lens prediction
France Ligue 1 · Friday 30 October 2026, 21:05 WAT
Full timeLille 1–0 LensResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
LilleDrawLens
Model 1 ✓
41%29%30%
Market 12 ✓
35%27%38%
Brit Predictor's model rates Lille to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Lille 41% at home, a draw 29% and Lens 30%, so its call is 1: Lille to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 27% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lille and 1.1 for Lens; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score49%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lille
Attack 11th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.
DDWLW
- D 1-1 at Monaco 2026-10-25
- D 1-1 v Brest 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 v Le Havre 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Nice 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 v Troyes 2026-09-13
Lens
Attack 4th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
WWWLD
- W 2-1 v Paris FC 2026-10-24
- W 3-1 at Troyes 2026-10-17
- W 2-1 v Lyon 2026-10-09
- L 1-2 at Monaco 2026-09-18
- D 2-2 at Le Mans 2026-09-13
From 684 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Fri 30 Oct
- Le Havre vs Paris SG · FT 1–5
- Nice vs Rennes · FT 5–2