Le Havre vs Paris SG prediction
France Ligue 1 · Friday 30 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Full timeLe Havre 1–5 Paris SGResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Le HavreDrawParis SG
Model 2 ✓
11%19%70%
Market 2 ✓
10%15%75%
Brit Predictor's model rates Paris SG to win as the most likely result (70%). It gives Le Havre 11% at home, a draw 19% and Paris SG 70%, so its call is 2: Paris SG to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 10% / 15% / 75%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 0.8 for Le Havre and 2.2 for Paris SG; the single most likely score is 0-2.
Expected goals0.8 – 2.2
Most likely score0-2
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score48%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Le Havre
Attack 16th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
LLLLD
- L 3-4 at Marseille 2026-10-25
- L 1-3 v Auxerre 2026-10-18
- L 0-1 at Lille 2026-10-10
- L 2-3 at Toulouse 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Angers 2026-09-12
Paris SG
Attack 1st of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 2-0 v Lyon 2026-10-26
- W 3-1 at Strasbourg 2026-10-17
- W 3-1 v Le Mans 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Marseille 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Brest 2026-09-13
From 684 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Fri 30 Oct
- Nice vs Rennes · FT 5–2
- Lille vs Lens · FT 1–0