Brit Predictor

Modena vs Cesena prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeModena 3–0 CesenaResult 1

Who wins?

ModenaDrawCesena
Model 1 ✓
54%27%19%
Market 1 ✓
62%22%16%

Brit Predictor's model rates Modena to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Modena 54% at home, a draw 27% and Cesena 19%, so its call is 1: Modena to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 22% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Modena and 0.9 for Cesena; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score49%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Modena

Attack 8th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.

LWWDL
  • L 1-2 at Carrarese 2026-10-17
  • W 3-2 v Verona 2026-10-11
  • W 2-1 v Empoli 2026-09-20
  • D 1-1 at Sudtirol 2026-09-12
  • L 0-1 v Avellino 2026-09-06

Cesena

Attack 11th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.

DLDDD
  • D 1-1 v Avellino 2026-10-18
  • L 0-2 at Benevento 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 at Juve Stabia 2026-09-18
  • D 2-2 v Cremonese 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 v Mantova 2026-09-06

From 831 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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