Avellino vs Padova prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Full timeAvellino 0–1 PadovaResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
AvellinoDrawPadova
Model 1 ✗
46%31%23%
Market 1 ✗
46%29%25%
Brit Predictor's model rates Avellino to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Avellino 46% at home, a draw 31% and Padova 23%, so its call is 1: Avellino to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 29% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Avellino and 0.9 for Padova; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score46%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Avellino
Attack 10th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
DWLDW
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-10-18
- W 4-1 v Sampdoria 2026-10-09
- L 1-3 at Ascoli 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Palermo 2026-09-13
- W 1-0 at Modena 2026-09-06
Padova
Attack 19th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
LLLWL
- L 1-2 v Virtus Entella 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 v Carrarese 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Palermo 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Ascoli 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Cremonese 2026-09-06
From 831 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 24 Oct
- Virtus Entella vs Mantova · FT 0–1
- Sudtirol vs Sampdoria · FT 1–1
- Cremonese vs Juve Stabia · FT 0–1
- Modena vs Cesena · FT 3–0
- Catanzaro vs Ascoli · FT 1–6
- Arezzo vs Benevento · FT 0–3