Catanzaro vs Ascoli prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called X2 ✓ (draw or away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ascoli to win as the most likely result (34%). It gives Catanzaro 32% at home, a draw 34% and Ascoli 34%, so its call is X2: Ascoli to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 28% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.0 for Catanzaro and 1.0 for Ascoli; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Ascoli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Catanzaro
Attack 4th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Verona 2026-10-16
- L 1-3 v Mantova 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Sampdoria 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Carrarese 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Sudtirol 2026-09-05
Ascoli
Attack 18th of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Empoli 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 at Sudtirol 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Avellino 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Padova 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Benevento 2026-09-05
From 831 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 24 Oct
- Virtus Entella vs Mantova · FT 0–1
- Sudtirol vs Sampdoria · FT 1–1
- Cremonese vs Juve Stabia · FT 0–1
- Avellino vs Padova · FT 0–1
- Modena vs Cesena · FT 3–0
- Arezzo vs Benevento · FT 0–3