Brit Predictor

Twente vs Utrecht prediction

Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeTwente 1–2 UtrechtResult 2

Who wins?

TwenteDrawUtrecht
Model 1 ✗
54%24%22%
Market 1 ✗
73%16%11%

Brit Predictor's model rates Twente to win as the most likely result (54%). It gives Twente 54% at home, a draw 24% and Utrecht 22%, so its call is 1: Twente to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 73% / 16% / 11%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Twente and 1.2 for Utrecht; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score60%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Twente

Attack 5th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.

DWWWD
  • D 1-1 at For Sittard 2026-10-10
  • W 3-2 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-09-20
  • W 2-0 v Den Haag 2026-09-12
  • W 1-0 v Telstar 2026-09-09
  • D 2-2 at Groningen 2026-09-06

Utrecht

Attack 8th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

WLWDL
  • W 3-1 v Willem II 2026-10-11
  • L 0-5 at Feyenoord 2026-09-20
  • W 2-1 at Excelsior 2026-09-13
  • D 3-3 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-09-08
  • L 1-6 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-30

From 688 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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