Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates AZ Alkmaar to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Cambuur 18% at home, a draw 21% and AZ Alkmaar 62%, so its call is 2: AZ Alkmaar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 14% / 18% / 68%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cambuur and 2.3 for AZ Alkmaar; the single most likely score is 1-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambuur, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Cambuur
Attack 14th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Zwolle 2026-10-11
- D 1-1 at Den Haag 2026-09-19
- W 3-0 v Nijmegen 2026-09-12
- D 2-2 at Telstar 2026-09-06
- L 1-4 v Twente 2026-08-30
AZ Alkmaar
Attack 7th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Feyenoord 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 v Telstar 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 v Willem II 2026-09-11
- W 3-2 at Heerenveen 2026-09-06
- W 5-2 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-08-29
From 688 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 18 Oct
- Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles · FT 4–1
- Groningen vs Ajax · FT 2–5
- Nijmegen vs For Sittard · FT 2–2
- Twente vs Utrecht · FT 1–2