Lyon vs Nice prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeLyon 2–1 NiceResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
LyonDrawNice
Model 1 ✓
61%22%17%
Market 1 ✓
48%25%26%
Brit Predictor's model rates Lyon to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Lyon 61% at home, a draw 22% and Nice 17%, so its call is 1: Lyon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 25% / 26%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lyon and 0.9 for Nice; the single most likely score is 2-0.
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score53%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lyon
Attack 7th of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
LWDWD
- L 1-2 at Lens 2026-10-09
- W 4-0 v Rennes 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Paris FC 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Auxerre 2026-09-04
- D 1-1 v Le Havre 2026-08-29
Nice
Attack 14th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
WWLDL
- W 2-1 v Strasbourg 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Lille 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 at Auxerre 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Le Mans 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Paris FC 2026-08-30
From 670 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 18 Oct
- Angers vs Marseille · FT 2–5
- Le Havre vs Auxerre · FT 1–3
- Lorient vs Monaco · FT 1–0
- Paris FC vs Rennes · FT 4–3