Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 18 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
Full timeLe Havre 1–3 AuxerreResult 2
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Le HavreDrawAuxerre
Model 12 ✓
36%30%34%
Market 1 ✗
42%27%32%
Brit Predictor's model rates Le Havre to win as the most likely result (36%). It gives Le Havre 36% at home, a draw 30% and Auxerre 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 27% / 32%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Le Havre and 1.1 for Auxerre; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals40%
Both teams score47%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Le Havre
Attack 16th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
LLDLD
- L 0-1 at Lille 2026-10-10
- L 2-3 at Toulouse 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Angers 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Brest 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Lyon 2026-08-29
Auxerre
Attack 15th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
LWWLL
- L 1-4 at Rennes 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Brest 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Nice 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Lyon 2026-09-04
- L 1-3 v Angers 2026-08-29
From 670 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 18 Oct
- Angers vs Marseille · FT 2–5
- Lorient vs Monaco · FT 1–0
- Paris FC vs Rennes · FT 4–3
- Lyon vs Nice · FT 2–1