Brit Predictor

Sheffield Weds vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

England League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeSheffield Weds 5–0 AFC WimbledonResult 1

Who wins?

Sheffield WedsDrawAFC Wimbledon
Model 1 ✓
71%18%10%
Market 1 ✓
61%22%18%

Brit Predictor's model rates Sheffield Weds to win as the most likely result (71%). It gives Sheffield Weds 71% at home, a draw 18% and AFC Wimbledon 10%, so its call is 1: Sheffield Weds to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.1 for Sheffield Weds and 0.7 for AFC Wimbledon; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Sheffield Weds, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.1 – 0.7
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score43%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Sheffield Weds

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

DDDWW
  • D 2-2 at Huddersfield 2026-10-10
  • D 0-0 v Stockport 2026-09-19
  • D 0-0 v Wigan 2026-09-12
  • W 2-1 at Peterboro 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 at Wycombe 2026-09-01

AFC Wimbledon

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.

LDDWW
  • L 1-2 at Plymouth 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 at Cambridge 2026-09-26
  • D 0-0 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-09-17
  • W 1-0 v Doncaster 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Bromley 2026-09-07

From 1207 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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