Brit Predictor

Peterboro vs Burton prediction

England League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timePeterboro 2–2 BurtonResult X

Who wins?

PeterboroDrawBurton
Model 1 ✗
43%25%31%
Market 1 ✗
53%23%24%

Brit Predictor's model rates Peterboro to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Peterboro 43% at home, a draw 25% and Burton 31%, so its call is 1: Peterboro to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 23% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Peterboro and 1.2 for Burton; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Peterboro

Attack 13th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

WLLDL
  • W 3-1 at Leicester 2026-10-10
  • L 0-1 at Stockport 2026-09-26
  • L 0-2 v Doncaster 2026-09-19
  • D 1-1 at Milton Keynes Dons 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 v Sheffield Weds 2026-09-05

Burton

Attack 16th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

LLWDL
  • L 0-1 at Doncaster 2026-10-10
  • L 1-3 v Huddersfield 2026-10-03
  • W 1-0 at Plymouth 2026-09-26
  • D 2-2 v Mansfield 2026-09-19
  • L 0-3 at Oxford 2026-09-12

From 1207 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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