Brit Predictor

Barnsley vs Cambridge prediction

England League One · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeBarnsley 1–2 CambridgeResult 2

Who wins?

BarnsleyDrawCambridge
Model 1 ✗
45%24%31%
Market 12 ✓
33%25%41%

Brit Predictor's model rates Barnsley to win as the most likely result (45%). It gives Barnsley 45% at home, a draw 24% and Cambridge 31%, so its call is 1: Barnsley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 25% / 41%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Barnsley and 1.3 for Cambridge; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambridge, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score60%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Barnsley

Attack 9th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.

LDLLW
  • L 1-3 at Stockport 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 v Leicester 2026-09-19
  • L 0-3 at Plymouth 2026-09-12
  • L 1-5 v Stevenage 2026-09-05
  • W 2-1 v Blackpool 2026-09-02

Cambridge

Attack 14th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

WDDWD
  • W 1-0 v Blackpool 2026-10-10
  • D 1-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-26
  • D 1-1 at Oxford 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 v Reading 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Burton 2026-09-05

From 1207 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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