Carrarese vs Modena prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Modena to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Carrarese 31% at home, a draw 32% and Modena 37%, so its call is X2: Modena to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 21% / 26% / 53%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Carrarese and 1.2 for Modena; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Carrarese
Attack 14th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Padova 2026-10-11
- L 0-1 v Benevento 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Catanzaro 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Empoli 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Ascoli 2026-08-29
Modena
Attack 7th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Verona 2026-10-11
- W 2-1 v Empoli 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 at Sudtirol 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Avellino 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 at Cremonese 2026-08-28
From 821 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 17 Oct
- Ascoli vs Empoli · FT 1–1
- Benevento vs Vicenza · FT 2–2
- Padova vs Virtus Entella · FT 1–2
- Mantova vs Palermo · FT 0–2
- Pisa vs Cremonese · FT 3–1