Brit Predictor

Benevento vs Vicenza prediction

Italy Serie B · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT

Full timeBenevento 2–2 VicenzaResult X

Who wins?

BeneventoDrawVicenza
Model 1 ✗
73%19%
Market 1 ✗
54%25%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Benevento to win as the most likely result (73%). It gives Benevento 73% at home, a draw 19% and Vicenza 8%, so its call is 1: Benevento to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 25% / 21%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.2 for Benevento and 0.6 for Vicenza; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Benevento, Vicenza, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.2 – 0.6
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score42%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Benevento

Attack 8th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.

WWWLD
  • W 2-0 v Cesena 2026-10-10
  • W 1-0 at Carrarese 2026-09-19
  • W 3-1 v Verona 2026-09-11
  • L 0-1 at Ascoli 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Sudtirol 2026-08-30

Vicenza

Attack 16th of 20, defence 20th of 20 in the league.

LLDDL
  • L 0-3 v Pisa 2026-10-10
  • L 1-2 at Verona 2026-09-20
  • D 1-1 v Juve Stabia 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Virtus Entella 2026-09-06
  • L 0-3 at Avellino 2026-08-29

From 821 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Sat 17 Oct

More Italy Serie B games on Sat 17 Oct