Ascoli vs Empoli prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Ascoli to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Ascoli 58% at home, a draw 29% and Empoli 12%, so its call is 1: Ascoli to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 55% / 26% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ascoli and 0.5 for Empoli; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Ascoli, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Ascoli
Attack 13th of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Sudtirol 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Avellino 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Padova 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Benevento 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Carrarese 2026-08-29
Empoli
Attack 12th of 20, defence 15th of 20 in the league.
- L 2-4 v Palermo 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 at Modena 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 v Arezzo 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 at Carrarese 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Mantova 2026-08-30
From 821 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 17 Oct
- Benevento vs Vicenza · FT 2–2
- Carrarese vs Modena · FT 2–1
- Padova vs Virtus Entella · FT 1–2
- Mantova vs Palermo · FT 0–2
- Pisa vs Cremonese · FT 3–1