Stoke vs Middlesbrough prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
Full timeStoke 2–3 MiddlesbroughResult 2
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
StokeDrawMiddlesbrough
Model 2 ✓
29%28%43%
Market 2 ✓
24%25%51%
Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Stoke 29% at home, a draw 28% and Middlesbrough 43%, so its call is 2: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 25% / 51%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Stoke and 1.4 for Middlesbrough; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals47%
Both teams score52%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Stoke
Attack 16th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
WWWDW
- W 2-1 at Bolton 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 v Sheffield United 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Watford 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Cardiff 2026-09-08
- W 4-0 v Charlton 2026-09-05
Middlesbrough
Attack 4th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
WDDWW
- W 1-0 v Wolves 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 at Birmingham 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Millwall 2026-09-15
- W 4-3 v Norwich 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at QPR 2026-09-05
From 1211 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Tue 13 Oct
- Wolves vs Bolton · FT 1–3
- Wrexham vs West Brom · FT 1–2
- Millwall vs Swansea · FT 0–1
- Cardiff vs Watford · FT 5–1
- Burnley vs Charlton · FT 2–2
- Bristol City vs Blackburn · FT 0–1
- Birmingham vs Preston · FT 4–0