Burnley vs Charlton prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Burnley 62% at home, a draw 26% and Charlton 12%, so its call is 1: Burnley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 23% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Burnley and 0.6 for Charlton; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burnley
Attack 6th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- W 4-0 at Watford 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Derby 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Swansea 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Wrexham 2026-09-08
- L 1-2 v Bristol City 2026-09-05
Charlton
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 12th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Bristol City 2026-10-10
- L 1-3 at Cardiff 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Portsmouth 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v QPR 2026-09-09
- L 0-4 at Stoke 2026-09-05
From 1211 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Tue 13 Oct
- Wolves vs Bolton · FT 1–3
- Wrexham vs West Brom · FT 1–2
- Millwall vs Swansea · FT 0–1
- Cardiff vs Watford · FT 5–1
- Bristol City vs Blackburn · FT 0–1
- Birmingham vs Preston · FT 4–0
- Stoke vs Middlesbrough · FT 2–3