Brit Predictor

Birmingham vs Preston prediction

England Championship · Tuesday 13 October 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeBirmingham 4–0 PrestonResult 1

Who wins?

BirminghamDrawPreston
Model 1 ✓
53%27%20%
Market 1 ✓
66%20%14%

Brit Predictor's model rates Birmingham to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Birmingham 53% at home, a draw 27% and Preston 20%, so its call is 1: Birmingham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 20% / 14%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Birmingham and 0.9 for Preston; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score47%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Birmingham

Attack 12th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.

WDWLD
  • W 1-0 at West Brom 2026-10-10
  • D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 at Derby 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 at Norwich 2026-09-09
  • D 2-2 v Wolves 2026-09-06

Preston

Attack 20th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.

LDLLW
  • L 0-1 v Millwall 2026-10-10
  • D 2-2 at QPR 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 v Lincoln 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 at Watford 2026-09-08
  • W 2-1 v Blackburn 2026-09-05

From 1211 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

See every game on Tue 13 Oct

More England Championship games on Tue 13 Oct