Brit Predictor

Valladolid vs Albacete prediction

Spain Segunda · Monday 12 October 2026, 14:00 WAT

Full timeValladolid 5–0 AlbaceteResult 1

Who wins?

ValladolidDrawAlbacete
Model 12 ✓
38%28%34%
Market 1 ✓
50%27%22%

Brit Predictor's model rates Valladolid to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Valladolid 38% at home, a draw 28% and Albacete 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 27% / 22%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Valladolid and 1.1 for Albacete; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score47%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Valladolid

Attack 20th of 22, defence 14th of 22 in the league.

DWDLW
  • D 2-2 at Las Palmas 2026-10-04
  • W 3-1 v Cordoba 2026-09-27
  • D 1-1 at Ceuta 2026-09-20
  • L 0-3 v Oviedo 2026-09-13
  • W 1-0 v Andorra 2026-09-05

Albacete

Attack 13th of 22, defence 13th of 22 in the league.

LLLDL
  • L 1-3 v Eibar 2026-10-03
  • L 0-2 at Girona 2026-09-25
  • L 1-2 v Cordoba 2026-09-18
  • D 1-1 at Granada 2026-09-12
  • L 0-2 at Castellon 2026-09-06

From 1019 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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