Burgos vs Granada prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 12 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Full timeBurgos 0–1 GranadaResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
BurgosDrawGranada
Model 1 ✗
48%28%24%
Market 12 ✓
38%30%32%
Brit Predictor's model rates Burgos to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Burgos 48% at home, a draw 28% and Granada 24%, so its call is 1: Burgos to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 30% / 32%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Burgos and 0.8 for Granada; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.3 – 0.8
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals37%
Both teams score42%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burgos
Attack 18th of 22, defence 3rd of 22 in the league.
LWWWD
- L 1-2 at Almeria 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-09-27
- W 2-1 at Las Palmas 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Ceuta 2026-09-11
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-09-06
Granada
Attack 8th of 22, defence 17th of 22 in the league.
WLLDL
- W 3-2 at Sociedad B 2026-10-04
- L 2-3 v Andorra 2026-09-26
- L 2-3 at Leganes 2026-09-20
- D 1-1 v Albacete 2026-09-12
- L 0-3 at Eibar 2026-09-06
From 1019 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Mon 12 Oct
- Valladolid vs Albacete · FT 5–0
- Oviedo vs Eibar · FT 3–1
- Tenerife vs Girona · FT 1–1