Tenerife vs Girona prediction
Spain Segunda · Monday 12 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Girona to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Tenerife 20% at home, a draw 24% and Girona 56%, so its call is 2: Girona to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 30% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tenerife and 1.7 for Girona; the single most likely score is 0-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, Girona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Tenerife
Attack 21st of 22, defence 12th of 22 in the league.
- L 2-3 at Cordoba 2026-10-05
- D 1-1 v Cadiz 2026-09-26
- L 0-5 at Castellon 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Leganes 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Sociedad B 2026-09-05
Girona
Attack 1st of 22, defence 5th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Mallorca 2026-10-04
- W 2-0 v Albacete 2026-09-25
- W 2-1 at Cadiz 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 v Castellon 2026-09-12
- W 2-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-05
From 1019 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Mon 12 Oct
- Valladolid vs Albacete · FT 5–0
- Burgos vs Granada · FT 0–1
- Oviedo vs Eibar · FT 3–1