Utrecht vs Willem II prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Utrecht to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives Utrecht 72% at home, a draw 18% and Willem II 10%, so its call is 1: Utrecht to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 20% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.4 for Utrecht and 0.8 for Willem II; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Willem II, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Utrecht
Attack 8th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-5 at Feyenoord 2026-09-20
- W 2-1 at Excelsior 2026-09-13
- D 3-3 v Go Ahead Eagles 2026-09-08
- L 1-6 v PSV Eindhoven 2026-08-30
- D 3-3 at Sparta Rotterdam 2026-08-22
Willem II
Attack 18th of 18, defence 16th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 v For Sittard 2026-09-19
- L 1-5 at Ajax 2026-09-15
- D 1-1 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-09-11
- L 0-3 v Excelsior 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 v Heerenveen 2026-08-30
From 680 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 11 Oct
- Telstar vs Den Haag · FT 2–2
- Zwolle vs Cambuur · FT 0–1
- Excelsior vs Groningen · FT 1–5