Telstar vs Den Haag prediction
Netherlands Eredivisie · Sunday 11 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Telstar to win as the most likely result (62%). It gives Telstar 62% at home, a draw 23% and Den Haag 15%, so its call is 1: Telstar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 31%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.0 for Telstar and 0.9 for Den Haag; the single most likely score is 2-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Den Haag, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Telstar
Attack 14th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar 2026-09-20
- D 0-0 at Heerenveen 2026-09-13
- L 0-1 at Twente 2026-09-09
- D 2-2 v Cambuur 2026-09-06
- L 0-4 v Ajax 2026-08-30
Den Haag
Attack 17th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Cambuur 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Twente 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 v For Sittard 2026-09-06
- D 2-2 at Feyenoord 2026-08-30
- L 1-3 at Go Ahead Eagles 2026-08-23
From 680 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More Netherlands Eredivisie games on Sun 11 Oct
- Utrecht vs Willem II · FT 3–1
- Zwolle vs Cambuur · FT 0–1
- Excelsior vs Groningen · FT 1–5