Rennes vs Auxerre prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
Full timeRennes 4–1 AuxerreResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
RennesDrawAuxerre
Model 1 ✓
55%23%22%
Market 1 ✓
69%18%13%
Brit Predictor's model rates Rennes to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Rennes 55% at home, a draw 23% and Auxerre 22%, so its call is 1: Rennes to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 69% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Rennes and 1.1 for Auxerre; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score58%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Rennes
Attack 8th of 18, defence 13th of 18 in the league.
LWWWD
- L 0-4 at Lyon 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Marseille 2026-09-11
- W 2-1 at Angers 2026-09-06
- W 3-2 v Le Mans 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 v Paris SG 2026-08-23
Auxerre
Attack 15th of 18, defence 11th of 18 in the league.
WWLLL
- W 2-1 v Brest 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Nice 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Lyon 2026-09-04
- L 1-3 v Angers 2026-08-29
- L 2-5 at Lens 2026-08-22
From 663 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 11 Oct
- Nice vs Strasbourg · FT 2–1
- Troyes vs Marseille · FT 0–2