Nice vs Strasbourg prediction
France Ligue 1 · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Strasbourg to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Nice 33% at home, a draw 25% and Strasbourg 43%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 25% / 29%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nice and 1.6 for Strasbourg; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Nice
Attack 14th of 18, defence 15th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Lille 2026-09-20
- L 0-1 at Auxerre 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Le Mans 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Paris FC 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 v Lorient 2026-08-22
Strasbourg
Attack 5th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Paris FC 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Monaco 2026-09-12
- W 6-2 at Troyes 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 v Lens 2026-08-29
- L 0-4 at Marseille 2026-08-21
From 663 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sun 11 Oct
- Rennes vs Auxerre · FT 4–1
- Troyes vs Marseille · FT 0–2