Padova vs Carrarese prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:15 WAT
Full timePadova 0–2 CarrareseResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
PadovaDrawCarrarese
Model 1 ✗
43%32%25%
Market 1 ✗
51%27%23%
Brit Predictor's model rates Padova to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Padova 43% at home, a draw 32% and Carrarese 25%, so its call is 1: Padova to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 51% / 27% / 23%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.2 for Padova and 0.9 for Carrarese; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.2 – 0.9
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals35%
Both teams score42%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Padova
Attack 17th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
LWLDW
- L 1-2 at Palermo 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Ascoli 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Cremonese 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 v Verona 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Pisa 2026-08-23
Carrarese
Attack 16th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
LLLDL
- L 0-1 v Benevento 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Catanzaro 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Empoli 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Ascoli 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Mantova 2026-08-22
From 817 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 11 Oct
- Catanzaro vs Mantova · FT 1–3
- Modena vs Verona · FT 3–2