Catanzaro vs Mantova prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 11 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Full timeCatanzaro 1–3 MantovaResult 2
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
CatanzaroDrawMantova
Model 1 ✗
53%24%23%
Market 1 ✗
43%28%29%
Brit Predictor's model rates Catanzaro to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Catanzaro 53% at home, a draw 24% and Mantova 23%, so its call is 1: Catanzaro to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 28% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Catanzaro and 1.3 for Mantova; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score63%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Catanzaro
Attack 4th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
LWLLL
- L 1-2 at Sampdoria 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 v Carrarese 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Sudtirol 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2026-08-30
- L 2-3 at Vicenza 2026-08-21
Mantova
Attack 6th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
DWDWW
- D 2-2 v Pisa 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 v Sampdoria 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-09-06
- W 3-1 v Empoli 2026-08-30
- W 2-1 at Carrarese 2026-08-22
From 817 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 11 Oct
- Padova vs Carrarese · FT 0–2
- Modena vs Verona · FT 3–2