Brit Predictor

Modena vs Verona prediction

Italy Serie B · Sunday 11 October 2026, 19:30 WAT

Full timeModena 3–2 VeronaResult 1

Who wins?

ModenaDrawVerona
Model 1 ✓
49%25%26%
Market 1 ✓
52%27%21%

Brit Predictor's model rates Modena to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Modena 49% at home, a draw 25% and Verona 26%, so its call is 1: Modena to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 27% / 21%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.9 for Modena and 1.3 for Verona; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Verona, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score63%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Modena

Attack 8th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.

WDLWW
  • W 2-1 v Empoli 2026-09-20
  • D 1-1 at Sudtirol 2026-09-12
  • L 0-1 v Avellino 2026-09-06
  • W 3-0 at Cremonese 2026-08-28
  • W 2-1 at Benevento 2026-08-22

Verona

Attack 1st of 20, defence 18th of 20 in the league.

WLWDL
  • W 2-1 v Vicenza 2026-09-20
  • L 1-3 at Benevento 2026-09-11
  • W 5-0 v Arezzo 2026-09-06
  • D 1-1 at Padova 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 v Ascoli 2026-08-23

From 817 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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