Brit Predictor

Mallorca vs Las Palmas prediction

Spain Segunda · Sunday 11 October 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeMallorca 3–1 Las PalmasResult 1

Who wins?

MallorcaDrawLas Palmas
Model 1 ✓
51%36%12%
Market 1 ✓
64%22%14%

Brit Predictor's model rates Mallorca to win as the most likely result (51%). It gives Mallorca 51% at home, a draw 36% and Las Palmas 12%, so its call is 1: Mallorca to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 22% / 14%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.0 for Mallorca and 0.3 for Las Palmas; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Mallorca, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.0 – 0.3
Most likely score0-0
Over 2.5 goals15%
Both teams score18%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Mallorca

Attack 21st of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.

DLWWD
  • D 0-0 at Girona 2026-10-04
  • L 0-1 v Almeria 2026-09-27
  • W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Sabadell 2026-09-13
  • D 0-0 at Eldense 2026-09-05

Las Palmas

Attack 7th of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.

DLLWD
  • D 2-2 v Valladolid 2026-10-04
  • L 2-3 at Eibar 2026-09-27
  • L 1-2 v Burgos 2026-09-20
  • W 1-0 at Cadiz 2026-09-12
  • D 0-0 v Leganes 2026-09-04

From 1015 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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