Cadiz vs Sp Gijon prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 11 October 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Gijon to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Cadiz 35% at home, a draw 27% and Sp Gijon 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 29% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cadiz and 1.3 for Sp Gijon; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Cadiz
Attack 17th of 22, defence 15th of 22 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Leganes 2026-10-03
- D 1-1 at Tenerife 2026-09-26
- L 1-2 v Girona 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Las Palmas 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 at Almeria 2026-09-06
Sp Gijon
Attack 9th of 22, defence 9th of 22 in the league.
- W 3-2 v Celta B 2026-10-04
- L 0-2 at Oviedo 2026-09-27
- W 3-1 at Andorra 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Eldense 2026-09-13
- L 0-2 v Girona 2026-09-05
From 1015 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 11 Oct
- Andorra vs Castellon · FT 1–0
- Almeria vs Leganes · FT 3–0
- Mallorca vs Las Palmas · FT 3–1