Almeria vs Leganes prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Full timeAlmeria 3–0 LeganesResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
AlmeriaDrawLeganes
Model 1 ✓
63%21%16%
Market 1 ✓
56%25%19%
Brit Predictor's model rates Almeria to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Almeria 63% at home, a draw 21% and Leganes 16%, so its call is 1: Almeria to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Almeria and 0.9 for Leganes; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score49%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Almeria
Attack 2nd of 22, defence 12th of 22 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 2-1 v Burgos 2026-10-03
- W 1-0 at Mallorca 2026-09-27
- W 2-0 v Celta B 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 at Cordoba 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Cadiz 2026-09-06
Leganes
Attack 22nd of 22, defence 10th of 22 in the league.
LLWLD
- L 0-4 at Cadiz 2026-10-03
- L 0-2 v Castellon 2026-09-28
- W 3-2 v Granada 2026-09-20
- L 0-2 at Tenerife 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Las Palmas 2026-09-04
From 1015 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 11 Oct
- Andorra vs Castellon · FT 1–0
- Mallorca vs Las Palmas · FT 3–1
- Cadiz vs Sp Gijon · FT 0–1