Brit Predictor

Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

England League One · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timePlymouth 2–1 AFC WimbledonResult 1

Who wins?

PlymouthDrawAFC Wimbledon
Model 1 ✓
66%20%15%
Market 1 ✓
62%21%17%

Brit Predictor's model rates Plymouth to win as the most likely result (66%). It gives Plymouth 66% at home, a draw 20% and AFC Wimbledon 15%, so its call is 1: Plymouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 21% / 17%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.1 for Plymouth and 0.9 for AFC Wimbledon; the single most likely score is 2-0.

Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Most likely score2-0
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score52%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Plymouth

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.

WLWWW
  • W 2-0 at Leyton Orient 2026-10-03
  • L 0-1 v Burton 2026-09-26
  • W 4-2 at Blackpool 2026-09-19
  • W 3-0 v Barnsley 2026-09-12
  • W 3-2 at Doncaster 2026-09-05

AFC Wimbledon

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.

DDWWL
  • D 1-1 at Cambridge 2026-09-26
  • D 0-0 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-09-17
  • W 1-0 v Doncaster 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 at Bromley 2026-09-07
  • L 1-4 at Burton 2026-09-02

From 1194 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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