Brit Predictor

Doncaster vs Burton prediction

England League One · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeDoncaster 1–0 BurtonResult 1

Who wins?

DoncasterDrawBurton
Model 12 ✓
39%28%34%
Market 1 ✓
56%24%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates Doncaster to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Doncaster 39% at home, a draw 28% and Burton 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 24% / 20%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Doncaster and 1.2 for Burton; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals44%
Both teams score49%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Doncaster

Attack 19th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.

WLLDD
  • W 2-0 at Peterboro 2026-09-19
  • L 0-1 at AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-12
  • L 2-3 v Plymouth 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Notts County 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 at Stevenage 2026-08-29

Burton

Attack 17th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.

LWDLD
  • L 1-3 v Huddersfield 2026-10-03
  • W 1-0 at Plymouth 2026-09-26
  • D 2-2 v Mansfield 2026-09-19
  • L 0-3 at Oxford 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 v Cambridge 2026-09-05

From 1194 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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