Notts County vs Oxford prediction
England League One · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Oxford to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Notts County 21% at home, a draw 23% and Oxford 55%, so its call is 2: Oxford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 27% / 30%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.0 for Notts County and 1.8 for Oxford; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Notts County, Oxford, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Notts County
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Reading 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 v Bradford 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Huddersfield 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at Doncaster 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 v Burton 2026-08-29
Oxford
Attack 1st of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Cambridge 2026-09-19
- W 3-0 v Burton 2026-09-12
- W 4-0 at Leicester 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Huddersfield 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 at Stevenage 2026-08-22
From 1194 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 10 Oct
- Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon · FT 2–1
- Bradford vs Leyton Orient · FT 0–0
- Wycombe vs Luton · FT 1–4
- Stevenage vs Wigan · FT 1–0
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading · FT 1–5
- Mansfield vs Bromley · FT 2–1
- Stockport vs Barnsley · FT 3–1
- Huddersfield vs Sheffield Weds · FT 2–2
- Doncaster vs Burton · FT 1–0
- Cambridge vs Blackpool · FT 1–0
- Leicester vs Peterboro · FT 1–3