Paris SG vs Le Mans prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Paris SG to win as the most likely result (77%). It gives Paris SG 77% at home, a draw 14% and Le Mans 10%, so its call is 1: Paris SG to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 85% / 10% / 5%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 3.1 for Paris SG and 1.1 for Le Mans; the single most likely score is 3-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Le Mans, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Paris SG
Attack 1st of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Marseille 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Brest 2026-09-13
- L 1-2 v Monaco 2026-09-04
- D 2-2 at Lille 2026-08-28
- D 2-2 at Rennes 2026-08-23
Le Mans
Attack 4th of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Lorient 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Lens 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Nice 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Rennes 2026-08-30
- D 2-2 v Brest 2026-08-22
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 10 Oct
- Lille vs Le Havre · FT 1–0
- Brest vs Angers · FT 5–1
- Lorient vs Paris FC · FT 1–0
- Monaco vs Toulouse · FT 2–2