Lorient vs Paris FC prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Lorient to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Lorient 37% at home, a draw 28% and Paris FC 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 25% / 29% / 46%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lorient and 1.2 for Paris FC; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Lorient
Attack 13th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Le Mans 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Toulouse 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 at Lens 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 v Troyes 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Nice 2026-08-22
Paris FC
Attack 10th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Strasbourg 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 v Lyon 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 at Marseille 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 v Nice 2026-08-30
- D 0-0 at Troyes 2026-08-22
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 10 Oct
- Lille vs Le Havre · FT 1–0
- Brest vs Angers · FT 5–1
- Monaco vs Toulouse · FT 2–2
- Paris SG vs Le Mans · FT 3–1