Monaco vs Toulouse prediction
France Ligue 1 · Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Full timeMonaco 2–2 ToulouseResult X
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
MonacoDrawToulouse
Model 1 ✗
56%23%21%
Market 1 ✗
60%22%18%
Brit Predictor's model rates Monaco to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Monaco 56% at home, a draw 23% and Toulouse 21%, so its call is 1: Monaco to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 22% / 18%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Monaco and 1.1 for Toulouse; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score59%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Monaco
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 6th of 18 in the league.
WDWWW
- W 2-1 v Lens 2026-09-18
- D 1-1 at Strasbourg 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 at Paris SG 2026-09-04
- W 2-0 v Marseille 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Le Havre 2026-08-23
Toulouse
Attack 11th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.
WDLDL
- W 3-2 v Le Havre 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 at Lorient 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Lille 2026-09-03
- D 2-2 at Brest 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 v Lyon 2026-08-22
From 658 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 1 games on Sat 10 Oct
- Lille vs Le Havre · FT 1–0
- Brest vs Angers · FT 5–1
- Lorient vs Paris FC · FT 1–0
- Paris SG vs Le Mans · FT 3–1