Osnabruck vs Dresden prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Dresden to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Osnabruck 38% at home, a draw 22% and Dresden 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 26% / 35%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.8 for Osnabruck and 1.9 for Dresden; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Osnabruck, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Osnabruck
Attack 12th of 18, defence 18th of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Holstein Kiel 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 v Hertha 2026-09-13
- W 3-1 v Braunschweig 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Bochum 2026-08-28
- L 0-3 v Magdeburg 2026-08-15
Dresden
Attack 8th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Hertha 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 at Braunschweig 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Bochum 2026-09-05
- L 3-5 at Heidenheim 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 v Darmstadt 2026-08-16
From 668 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Darmstadt vs Cottbus · FT 3–1
- Magdeburg vs Hannover · FT 3–0
- Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg · FT 4–4