Brit Predictor

Darmstadt vs Cottbus prediction

Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:00 WAT

Full timeDarmstadt 3–1 CottbusResult 1

Who wins?

DarmstadtDrawCottbus
Model 12 ✓
39%20%41%
Market 1 ✓
46%23%31%

Brit Predictor's model rates Cottbus to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Darmstadt 39% at home, a draw 20% and Cottbus 41%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 23% / 31%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 2.2 for Darmstadt and 2.2 for Cottbus; the single most likely score is 2-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Cottbus, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.2 – 2.2
Most likely score2-2
Over 2.5 goals82%
Both teams score80%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Darmstadt

Attack 9th of 18, defence 9th of 18 in the league.

LWLLL
  • L 1-5 at Wolfsburg 2026-09-18
  • W 2-1 v Bielefeld 2026-09-11
  • L 0-3 at Kaiserslautern 2026-09-05
  • L 0-1 v Hannover 2026-08-30
  • L 0-1 at Dresden 2026-08-16

Cottbus

Attack 2nd of 18, defence 17th of 18 in the league.

DWDLL
  • D 1-1 v St Pauli 2026-09-20
  • W 3-0 at Karlsruhe 2026-09-13
  • D 4-4 at Wolfsburg 2026-09-05
  • L 3-4 v Greuther Furth 2026-08-29
  • L 0-3 at Bielefeld 2026-08-16

From 668 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.

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