Nurnberg vs Wolfsburg prediction
Germany 2. Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 20:30 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Wolfsburg to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Nurnberg 29% at home, a draw 22% and Wolfsburg 49%, so its call is 2: Wolfsburg to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 24% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Nurnberg and 2.1 for Wolfsburg; the single most likely score is 1-2. Careful: there is little recent data on Wolfsburg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Nurnberg
Attack 4th of 18, defence 7th of 18 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Karlsruhe 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 v Hannover 2026-09-11
- D 2-2 at Holstein Kiel 2026-09-05
- W 4-1 v Bielefeld 2026-08-29
- W 4-2 at Greuther Furth 2026-08-15
Wolfsburg
Attack 1st of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- W 5-1 v Darmstadt 2026-09-18
- L 0-1 at St Pauli 2026-09-12
- D 4-4 v Cottbus 2026-09-05
- W 5-2 at Karlsruhe 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Hannover 2026-08-16
From 668 league matches since 2024-08-02, recent games weighted more.
More Germany 2. Bundesliga games on Sat 10 Oct
- Darmstadt vs Cottbus · FT 3–1
- Magdeburg vs Hannover · FT 3–0
- Osnabruck vs Dresden · FT 1–1