Sochaux vs Boulogne prediction
France Ligue 2 · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
- Model called X ✓ (draw): called it
- Market called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (48%). It gives Sochaux 30% at home, a draw 48% and Boulogne 22%, so its call is X: a draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 40% / 31% / 29%, a call of 1X — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.5 for Sochaux and 0.4 for Boulogne; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Sochaux, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Sochaux
Attack 18th of 18, defence 1st of 18 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Laval 2026-09-18
- W 1-0 v Nantes 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Pau FC 2026-09-04
- D 0-0 at Clermont 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Guingamp 2026-08-21
Boulogne
Attack 17th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Nantes 2026-09-19
- D 0-0 at Clermont 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 v Dijon 2026-09-04
- D 0-0 at Montpellier 2026-08-28
- D 1-1 v Red Star 2026-08-21
From 674 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More France Ligue 2 games on Fri 9 Oct
- Dunkerque vs Annecy · FT 0–1
- Montpellier vs Grenoble · FT 2–0
- Nancy vs Guingamp · FT 1–0
- Pau FC vs Laval · FT 3–2