Brit Predictor

Nancy vs Guingamp prediction

France Ligue 2 · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeNancy 1–0 GuingampResult 1

Who wins?

NancyDrawGuingamp
Model 12 ✓
36%26%38%
Market 1 ✓
46%27%28%

Brit Predictor's model rates Guingamp to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Nancy 36% at home, a draw 26% and Guingamp 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 46% / 27% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nancy and 1.4 for Guingamp; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals51%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Nancy

Attack 14th of 18, defence 12th of 18 in the league.

WLLWW
  • W 4-3 at Rodez 2026-09-18
  • L 1-2 v Reims 2026-09-11
  • L 0-1 at Nantes 2026-09-07
  • W 2-0 v Dunkerque 2026-08-28
  • W 1-0 at Pau FC 2026-08-21

Guingamp

Attack 7th of 18, defence 14th of 18 in the league.

LWDDL
  • L 1-3 v Red Star 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 v Annecy 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Reims 2026-09-05
  • D 3-3 v Nantes 2026-08-29
  • L 0-1 at Sochaux 2026-08-21

From 674 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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