Brit Predictor

Montpellier vs Grenoble prediction

France Ligue 2 · Friday 9 October 2026, 20:00 WAT

Full timeMontpellier 2–0 GrenobleResult 1

Who wins?

MontpellierDrawGrenoble
Model 1 ✓
47%32%21%
Market 1 ✓
62%23%15%

Brit Predictor's model rates Montpellier to win as the most likely result (47%). It gives Montpellier 47% at home, a draw 32% and Grenoble 21%, so its call is 1: Montpellier to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 62% / 23% / 15%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Montpellier and 0.6 for Grenoble; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.1 – 0.6
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals26%
Both teams score32%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Montpellier

Attack 12th of 18, defence 2nd of 18 in the league.

DWLDW
  • D 1-1 at Reims 2026-09-18
  • W 1-0 v Pau FC 2026-09-11
  • L 1-3 at St Etienne 2026-09-05
  • D 0-0 v Boulogne 2026-08-28
  • W 1-0 at Dunkerque 2026-08-21

Grenoble

Attack 13th of 18, defence 8th of 18 in the league.

DWLWL
  • D 1-1 v Clermont 2026-09-18
  • W 1-0 at Rodez 2026-09-11
  • L 1-2 v Annecy 2026-09-04
  • W 3-0 at Laval 2026-08-28
  • L 0-4 at St Etienne 2026-08-22

From 674 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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