Mallorca vs Almeria prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 27 September 2026, 16:15 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mallorca to win as the most likely result (64%). It gives Mallorca 64% at home, a draw 25% and Almeria 11%, so its call is 1: Mallorca to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 28% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mallorca and 0.4 for Almeria; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Mallorca, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Mallorca
Attack 10th of 22, defence 1st of 22 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Sociedad B 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Sabadell 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 at Eldense 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v Ceuta 2026-08-30
- L 0-2 at Granada 2026-08-24
Almeria
Attack 2nd of 22, defence 15th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Celta B 2026-09-20
- W 2-0 at Cordoba 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Cadiz 2026-09-06
- L 0-1 at Sabadell 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 at Tenerife 2026-08-23
From 995 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 27 Sep
- Valladolid vs Cordoba · FT 3–1
- Burgos vs Eldense · FT 1–0
- Eibar vs Las Palmas · FT 3–2
- Oviedo vs Sp Gijon · FT 2–0