Burgos vs Eldense prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burgos to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Burgos 56% at home, a draw 27% and Eldense 17%, so its call is 1: Burgos to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 30% / 30%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Burgos and 0.6 for Eldense; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Eldense, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burgos
Attack 17th of 22, defence 4th of 22 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Las Palmas 2026-09-20
- W 3-1 v Ceuta 2026-09-11
- D 0-0 at Oviedo 2026-09-06
- D 2-2 v Sociedad B 2026-08-31
- L 0-1 at Sp Gijon 2026-08-23
Eldense
Attack 19th of 22, defence 18th of 22 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Eibar 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-09-13
- D 0-0 v Mallorca 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 at Leganes 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Cadiz 2026-08-22
From 995 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 27 Sep
- Valladolid vs Cordoba · FT 3–1
- Mallorca vs Almeria · FT 0–1
- Eibar vs Las Palmas · FT 3–2
- Oviedo vs Sp Gijon · FT 2–0