Eibar vs Las Palmas prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 27 September 2026, 18:30 WAT
Full timeEibar 3–2 Las PalmasResult 1
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
EibarDrawLas Palmas
Model 1 ✓
43%30%27%
Market 1 ✓
54%25%20%
Brit Predictor's model rates Eibar to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Eibar 43% at home, a draw 30% and Las Palmas 27%, so its call is 1: Eibar to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 54% / 25% / 20%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Eibar and 0.8 for Las Palmas; the single most likely score is 1-0.
Expected goals1.2 – 0.8
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals32%
Both teams score39%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Eibar
Attack 11th of 22, defence 5th of 22 in the league.
WWWWW
- W 2-1 at Eldense 2026-09-19
- W 4-0 at Celta B 2026-09-14
- W 3-0 v Granada 2026-09-06
- W 1-0 at Andorra 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Valladolid 2026-08-23
Las Palmas
Attack 6th of 22, defence 6th of 22 in the league.
LWDLW
- L 1-2 v Burgos 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 at Cadiz 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Leganes 2026-09-04
- L 2-5 at Girona 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 at Ceuta 2026-08-22
From 995 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 27 Sep
- Valladolid vs Cordoba · FT 3–1
- Mallorca vs Almeria · FT 0–1
- Burgos vs Eldense · FT 1–0
- Oviedo vs Sp Gijon · FT 2–0