Schalke 04 vs Elversberg prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Schalke 04 to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Schalke 04 39% at home, a draw 25% and Elversberg 36%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 23% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Schalke 04 and 1.5 for Elversberg; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Schalke 04, Elversberg, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Schalke 04
Attack 11th of 18, defence 5th of 18 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Union Berlin 2026-09-11
- D 0-0 v Bayern Munich 2026-09-05
- L 0-3 at Augsburg 2026-08-30
Elversberg
Attack 5th of 18, defence 10th of 18 in the league.
- L 1-2 v Bayern Munich 2026-09-13
- W 4-3 at M'gladbach 2026-09-05
- W 3-2 v Leverkusen 2026-08-29
From 645 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig · FT 2–0
- Paderborn vs Hoffenheim · FT 3–1