Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig prediction
Germany Bundesliga · Sunday 20 September 2026, 15:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leverkusen to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Leverkusen 49% at home, a draw 23% and RB Leipzig 28%, so its call is 1: Leverkusen to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 52% / 21% / 27%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.0 for Leverkusen and 1.4 for RB Leipzig; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Leverkusen
Attack 3rd of 18, defence 3rd of 18 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Augsburg 2026-09-12
- W 4-0 v Union Berlin 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Elversberg 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Hamburg 2026-05-16
- L 1-3 at Stuttgart 2026-05-09
RB Leipzig
Attack 6th of 18, defence 4th of 18 in the league.
- W 5-0 v Hamburg 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Werder Bremen 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 v M'gladbach 2026-08-29
- L 1-4 at Freiburg 2026-05-16
- W 2-1 v St Pauli 2026-05-09
From 645 league matches since 2024-08-23, recent games weighted more.
More Germany Bundesliga games on Sun 20 Sep
- Schalke 04 vs Elversberg · FT 0–0
- Paderborn vs Hoffenheim · FT 3–1