Modena vs Empoli prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 20 September 2026, 19:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Modena to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Modena 52% at home, a draw 28% and Empoli 19%, so its call is 1: Modena to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 67% / 21% / 12%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Modena and 0.8 for Empoli; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Modena
Attack 7th of 20, defence 2nd of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Sudtirol 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v Avellino 2026-09-06
- W 3-0 at Cremonese 2026-08-28
- W 2-1 at Benevento 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Avellino 2026-05-08
Empoli
Attack 11th of 20, defence 11th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Arezzo 2026-09-11
- W 1-0 at Carrarese 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Mantova 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Cremonese 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 at Monza 2026-05-08
From 806 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 20 Sep
- Verona vs Vicenza · FT 2–1
- Arezzo vs Sudtirol · FT 1–4
- Mantova vs Pisa · FT 2–2