Mantova vs Pisa prediction
Italy Serie B · Sunday 20 September 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Mantova to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Mantova 38% at home, a draw 28% and Pisa 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 29% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mantova and 1.4 for Pisa; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Pisa, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Mantova
Attack 6th of 20, defence 17th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Sampdoria 2026-09-13
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-09-06
- W 3-1 v Empoli 2026-08-30
- W 2-1 at Carrarese 2026-08-22
- L 0-5 at Frosinone 2026-05-08
Pisa
Attack 3rd of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- L 1-4 v Virtus Entella 2026-09-11
- W 3-0 at Juve Stabia 2026-09-06
- W 2-1 v Catanzaro 2026-08-30
- L 0-1 v Padova 2026-08-23
- W 2-1 v Cremonese 2025-05-13
From 806 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sun 20 Sep
- Verona vs Vicenza · FT 2–1
- Arezzo vs Sudtirol · FT 1–4
- Modena vs Empoli · FT 2–1